Tuesday, September 30, 2014

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Durant fresh for Thunder; Plus, full coverage of Media Days

NBA Daily
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Hang Time: Fresh Legs
Kevin Durant enters camp rejuvenated, which gives OKC hope for a title run.
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Kobe Bryant is healthy and focused on helping his 'mates find their 'i...
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Parsons set to lead in new role with Mavericks
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Monday, September 29, 2014

Built for October. Shop the Official 2014 Postseason Headwear Collection.

Built for October. Shop the Official 2014 Postseason Headwear Collection.
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Built for October. The 2014 MLB Postseason Sidepatch.
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Monday Night Football betting preview and picks

SEPTEMBER 2014    Sporting News Linemakers Archive

Monday Night Football betting preview and picks

@TheLinemakers

 

If you like the Patriots to win and cover on tonight in Kansas City, you are banking on New England to play like it has generally played since, oh, 2001.

But on current form, the Patriots don’t look like the Patriots. They are gaining fewer yards per play than the Jaguars. They don’t have a single second-half touchdown. They have exceeded 300 yards once in three games entering the Monday-night matchup against the Chiefs (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Still, we’re talking a 2-1 New England team that might just be shaking off some rust while winning games. How resourceful! And look, these are the Patriots, man. They should be just fine.

Well, that’s the feeling, at least, for if that weren’t the case, why would these Patriots be 3.5-point favorites on the road?

In the end, if you believe in the Patriot Way and whatnot, a point spread of a little more than a field goal isn’t a big deal. The Chiefs (1-2) don’t have the Patriots’ brand name, and they are 3-8 in their 11 games of consequence. We’ve all seen some New England teams who would handle these Chiefs without much trouble at all.

And if you think the Patriots will show up on Monday night, then it’s an easy game to handicap. But if you don’t, then the point spread becomes a hurdle and not just a little number to pass on the way to a been-there, done-that victory.

The Line: Patriots -3.5 Total: 46

Line movement: New England opened -4 at numerous Nevada books -- and even as high as -4.5 at The Wynn -- but the spread was at -3.5 for much of last week and has been pushed down even further.

The total opened as low as 45 and has been driven up.

The Linemakers' lean: The Pats may be 2-1, but the combined record of their opponents is 2-7.  They were woeful offensively against a Raiders team that the Jets and Texans ran roughshod over.  Now, they travel to a Kansas City team that has impressed over the last two weeks and boasts one of the strongest home-field advantages in the league.  We'll take the home dog on Monday.

Also, our partner Warren Sharp likes UNDER any total of 45 or higher in this game.  Since the total is on the rise, there's even more value in the play.  Read Warren's justification for his UNDER play right here at The Linemakers on Sporting News.

More for Monday night: Full betting preview | Props


Bucs, Vikings help Vegas sports books to another winning day


NFL Week 5 opening line report – Betting market reacts to Sunday

 
Line of the day

“ We have three World Series co-favorites on the eve of the playoffs, with the Dodgers, Tigers and Nationals all listed at 9-to-2 at the SuperBook. The Nats' rotation has The Linemakers' Micah Roberts believing they deserve to be co-favorites. ”

 
 
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Can Miami surprise in the East? Plus, media days continue Monday

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