Thursday, February 26, 2015

Cavs host Warriors in potential NBA Finals preview

FEBRUARY 2015    Sporting News Linemakers Archive

Cavs host Warriors in potential NBA Finals preview

@TheLinemakers

There's a potential NBA Finals preview on Thursday when the Cavaliers welcome the Warriors to Quicken Loans Arena (8 p.m. ET).

Line: Cleveland -3.5 , Total: 214.5

Cleveland and Golden State are the top two favorites to win the NBA Championship, according to the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. The Warriors have the best record in basketball, and while the Cavs rank just ninth, they've been red-hot of late.

Cleveland (36-22 SU, 29-29 ATS) has won three-straight games (3-0 ATS) and is 17-2 SU (15-4 ATS) in its last 19 overall. Those two losses came on the road and were both the second half of a back-to-back.

The Cavaliers have won 10 in a row (9-1 ATS) at home and are playing there for the first time since Feb. 11.

Coach David Blatt is coaching with confidence after being embattled earlier in the year. Kevin Love (16.9 PPG) is still up-and-down, but LeBron James (25.7 PPG) and Kyrie Irving (21.6 PPG) seem willing to do whatever it takes to win on a given night. Irving's defense on Stephen Curry (23.8 PPG) could be the key to this game.

The Warriors (44-10 SU, 33-20-1 ATS) started their six-game trip with a loss at Indiana (104-98 as 4-point favorites) on Sunday, followed by a win at Washington (114-107 as 6.5-point favorites) on Tuesday. Curry missed the Pacers game with a sore foot, but bounced back with 32 points (11-of-18 shooting) against Washington.

Golden State has the third-best ATS record in the league, although is much stronger at home (19-6-1) than away (14-14).

Coach Steve Kerr has his team ranked second in offensive efficiency and first in defensive efficiency. This defense makes a lot of switches and Harrison Barnes, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala will all get turns trying to stop James.

These teams met in the Bay Area on January 9 with Golden State winning 112-94 as 13.5-point favorites. James was out injured, and it was before Cleveland started its recent run.

The Linemakers' lean: The Warriors continue to win, but they've been playing below their rating, having covered just two spreads in their last seven games. Golden State is gradually falling back to the pack from a power rating perspective. The Cavs, meanwhile, are ascending, and the short price tonight is enticing. We'll lay the 3.5 with the better team that still has plenty to prove. Cleveland -3.5 or -4 is the play.

Partner pick: With an average score after AccuScore ran its 10,000-plus simulations of 106-105, there's a 57.3 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 214.5.

Continue reading our Thursday night NBA betting preview, including our lean on the Thunder-Suns, right here, and AccuScore's full Warriors-Cavs rundown here.


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Line of the day

“ The Utah Utes have been very good at covering spreads this season, going 18-7 ATS, and it doesn't matter whether they're home (10-4 ATS), away (8-3 ATS), favored (15-6 ATS) or underdogs (3-1 ATS). ”

 
 
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Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Simsanity; Opportunity Strikes

February 25, 2015 John, here's your NBA D-League newsletter. | View Email Online
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Simsanity Simsanity
The basketball world is buzzing about Sim Bhullar's monster triple-double on Sunday night in Reno, when the 7-foot-5 center put up 26 points, 17 rebounds and 11 blocks against the D-Fenders.
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One Giant Step One Giant Step
Bhullar's breakout game highlighted the progress the 22-year-old has made with the Bighorns as he attempts to become the first player of Indian descent ever to reach the NBA.
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Opportunity Strikes Opportunity Strikes
The NBA D-League felt the ripple effects of the NBA's wild trade deadline, which spurred nine GATORADE Call-Ups in one week. Among the prospects to get the nod was John Stockton's son, David, who signed with the Kings after a standout season in Reno.
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Sky Walker Sky Walker
"You're seeing the benefit of a true minor-league system." Those were the words of Erik Spoelstra after Henry Walker, two days after being called up from Miami's affiliate in Sioux Falls, rose up for 11 points and a highlight-reel dunk to spark Spoelstra's Heat.
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The minor league took the big-league stage for one afternoon at the Barclays Center with the 2015 NBA D-League All-Star festivities. Take a look behind the scenes in this all-access feature.
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