Friday, December 19, 2014

The Quants offer NFL Week 16, bowl game picks

DECEMBER 2014    Sporting News Linemakers Archive

The Quants offer NFL Week 16, bowl game picks

@TheLinemakers

The 2014 college football bowl season kicks off on Saturday, and there's a couple of NFL games sprinkled into the day's action as well, before bettors are treated to Sunday's usual full slate of pro games.

Massey-Peabody ("The Quants") offer up their plays for the bowl season and the NFL's Week 16 card.

The Quants will be looking to get off the schneid with their Big Plays in the NFL, which went 0-3 last week and are off to an 0-1 start this week, with Tennessee (+3.5) losing at Jacksonville Thursday night.

Still, our partners are 30-25-1 on their official pro football plays this season and 45-33-1 in college.

Here are their best bets for the NFL's Week 16 schedule and the 2014-15 bowl games:

NFL Big Plays (16-15 YTD)
-- Tennessee +3.5 at Jacksonville [MP Line: TEN +0.4]
-- Chicago +9 vs. Detroit [MP Line: CHI +2.4]
-- Kansas City +3 at Pittsburgh [MP Line: KC -0.7]
-- Arizona +8 vs. Seattle [MP Line: ARI +5.2]

College football Big Plays (16-11-1 YTD)
-- Michigan State +3 vs. Baylor [MP Line: Michigan St -3.6]

Get the rest of The Quants' NFL picks for the week here, and their bowl game plays here.

Also, in a money-line play from AccuScore for one of Saturday's five bowl games, Rohit Ghosh writes, "The Wynn Las Vegas has Colorado State listed as +155 money-line underdogs, implying a 39.2 percent chance of winning. After 10,000 simulations, AccuScore gives the Rams a 48 percent chance of winning. Based on AccuScore data, Colorado State's odds should be at about +105.

"While AccuScore and Vegas don't necessarily disagree on the winner, AccuScore odds compared to Vegas odds make Colorado State an attractive money-line proposition. "

AccuScore has a money-line play on Saturday's Chargers-49ers tilt, too.


Rondo trade prompts adjustment to Mavericks' NBA championship odds


AccuScore NBA Pick of the Day – Nets at Cavaliers


Eagles vs. Redskins betting preview and pick - Philly facing must-win situation


Utah vs. Colorado State betting preview and pick – Early money on dog in Las Vegas Bowl


Colts vs. Cowboys betting preview and pick – Dallas a poor play at home in 2014

 
Line of the day

“ With Cam Newton expected to start, Carolina is a 3- to 3.5-point home favorite vs. the Browns on Sunday. ”

 
 
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