Friday, March 20, 2015

The Linemakers offer up leans for Friday’s Tournament tilts

MARCH 2015    Sporting News Linemakers Archive

The Linemakers offer up leans for Friday's Tournament tilts

@TheLinemakers

There are 16 more games on today's NCAA Tournament board. Here are four leans for your consideration.

6:50 p.m. ET, TBS: Oklahoma St vs Oregon (-2, 136)
If you're looking for a hot team to ride, look beyond Oklahoma State. The Cowboys have lost six of their last seven games, both straight up and against the spread, and while they play in a deep Big 12 conference (yesterday's results notwithstanding), those recent defeats have included Texas Tech and TCU.

Oregon, on the other hand, does come in hot, winning 13 of its last 16 games, losing only to Arizona twice and at UCLA during the stretch. The Ducks have cashed in nine of their last 10 games.

Our ratings say Oklahoma State should be favored by 2.5 in this spot. However, with the Cowboys as cold as they are – largely because of poor defense – the leans are Oregon and OVER.

7:20 p.m. ET, TNT: Davidson vs Iowa (-2, 145.5)
Iowa finished the year strong, but we see that as a product of playing weaker competition down the stretch. Davidson, at 22-6 ATS, has been one of the best spread covering teams in the nation, and we've been riding the Wildcats all year. They may have failed us in its last two spots, but we'll get back in the saddle and lean to Davidson here.

9:40 p.m. ET, CBS: St. John's vs San Diego St (-4, 122)
The Aztecs rank third in the country in defensive efficiency and 210th on offense. We see SDSU and head coach Steve Fisher turning this into an ugly contest, slowing the pace to a crawl. We lean to the UNDER.

9:57 p.m. ET, truTV: Dayton vs Providence (-3, 131)
These teams both play at a fairly slow pace, Providence ranking 129th in possessions per game, Dayton 245th. We'll go UNDER the total here.

For links to all of our betting previews and leans, jump over to The Linemakers on Sporting News.

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Line of the day

“ Kentucky opened -18.5 over Cincinnati in Saturday's Round of 32 game. The last time the Bearcats were this big an underdog was when they were +18.5 at Xavier in December 2007. ”

 
 
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