THE INTRO
Well, I sure did pick a good time to announce my retirement.
I read a dozen stories over the week about VEGAS DAVE, the baseball bettor that won $2.5 Million on the Kansas City Royals winning the World Series.
I mean this just makes me so angry on so many levels. I don't even know where to start.
1. If the Toronto Blue Jays don't blow it, that idiot is never heard of and I win $900. Not quite $2.5 million, but I'd take it.
2. The guy is a complete tool. Claims to have a record of 123-3 this season on baseball bets and that he bets around $50,000 a game. Has pictures of winning bet tickets on his site, but no losers, so that he can claim he is undefeated in college and NFL football bets this year. Will use these lies, along with coverage from this life-all-in gamble paying off, to con dozens of people out of their money as a paid shill that sells his "can't lose" picks.
3. Why do con artist douchebags get rewarded with massive scores, while people that do their best to be honest and good to people lose every frigging bet they place?
4. Why does his name have to be Vegas Dave?
I was never the only "Vegas Dave". It isn't the most original nickname in the world, but it was one that I got on live radio at USC and one that three of my closest friends on earth still call me to this day. When I see the name Vegas Dave, I should think back fondly to my college years, my days in radio, and of a kid that had his whole life ahead of him with hopes and dreams.
Not of this scumbag degenerate lying asshole. Who happens to be a multi-millionaire now.
Oh well, if we can't beat 'em, join 'em, right? Let me go buy his picks for today's NFL action for hundreds of dollars. I'm only hitting 56.6% this year, I'd love to bump that up to 100% and be like the REAL Vegas Dave!
Sigh.
THE RECORD
Last Week
Spread "Picks": 0 - 1 - 0 (.000)
Spread "Leans": 4 - 3 - 0 (.571)
Spread "Coin Flips": 2 - 3 - 1 (.400)
With the spread: 6 - 7 - 1 (.462)
Without the spread: 9 - 5 - 0 (.643)
Season
Spread "Picks": 7 - 6 - 1 (.538)
Spread "Leans": 30 - 20 - 2 (.600)
Spread "Coin Flips": 26 - 23 - 4 (.531)
With the spread: 63 - 49 - 7 (.566)
Without the spread: 78 - 41 - 0 (.655)
THE PICKS
($) - Indicates a "Pick", which is a side that I feel strongly about
(/) - Indicates a "Lean", which is the side that I'm leaning towards
(?) - Indicates a "Coin Flip", where I don't have much of an opinion
* - Indicates Outright Upset Pick
THURSDAY
(?) Cleveland (+12.0) @ Cincinnati (-12.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Cincinnati (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Cincinnati (WIN)
SUNDAY
(?) Green Bay (-2.5) @ Carolina (+2.5)
I keep going back and forth on this one. On the one hand, I feel the Packers should bounce back with a strong effort. On the other, Carolina has been really good this season, and I'm sure they'd relish the chance to make another statement at home in this one. So tough. Going to trust you here, make me proud Cam!
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Carolina
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Carolina
(?) Washington (+14.0) @ New England (-14.0)
New England is obviously going to win and score a lot of points. But will the final be, say, 31-20 or 34-17? These are New England problems. I'm not sure, but I'll err on the side of blowout.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England
(/) Tennessee (+7.5) @ New Orleans (-7.5)
Marcus Mariota's return downgrades this one from a PICK to just a lean. Still, the Saints have won four of their last five and are rolling on offense. Even if the Titans keep up for a while, the Saints should eventually pull away.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New Orleans
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New Orleans
(?) Miami (+3.0) @ Buffalo (-3.0)
This is a really important game between two teams that no one can figure out. My gut tells me the Dolphins are better, but my gut also told me that getting a sweet cream instead of cake batter ice cream last time I went to Cold Stone was a good idea. So it isn't infallable.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami
(/) St. Louis (+1.0) @ Minnesota (-1.0)
The Vikings are the real deal, and they've been flying under the radar all year under teams like Carolina and Arizona. The Rams are tough on defense, but Minnesota's honest and physical attack should be able to counteract that.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Minnesota
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Minnesota
(/) Jacksonville (+8.0) @ NY Jets (-8.0)
After a hot start, the Jets are starting to look like their old pumpkin after midnight self of late. They'll beat the Jags of course, but I don't think it'll be by double-digits.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: NY Jets
(/) Oakland (+5.5) @ Pittsburgh (-5.5)
I think I've been wrong on every Raider game this season since Week 1, so I'm tempted to keep picking against them to propel them into the playoffs. But alas, against my better judgment, they have me believing in them again. The team is playing great on both sides of the ball, and with Le'Veon Bell out and Big Ben still not at 100%, an upset here doesn't feel out of the question. I'm going to take the points and see if I can be on the right side of a pick for the Raiders ONE TIME FELLAS!
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Oakland
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh
(?) NY Giants (-2.0) @ Tampa Bay (+2.0)
I never know what to think of the Giants, but this feels like a good spot for Tampa Bay. The defense is playing well and the offense should be able to put together some drives on this horrible defense. Let's roll with the upset.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Tampa Bay
(?) Atlanta (-7.0) @ San Francisco (+7.0)
I'd love to stay on the fade the 49ers bandwagon, but week in and week out the Falcons keep losing to or barely skating by awful teams. How can we give seven points away on them? I guess I have to roll my eyes and take the points.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Francisco
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Atlanta
($) Denver (-5.5) @ Indianapolis (+5.5)
So every week, Indianapolis goes down big, then rallies a big comeback to cover the spread. Only this week, the Colts play the best defense in the NFL, and one that will only get stronger with the lead. Peyton setting the all-time win record in Indianapolis is just too picture perfect. Broncos by double-digits.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Denver
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Denver
(?) Philadelphia (-3.0) @ Dallas (+3.0)
I mean, Dallas can't score, right? They have no quarterback? Don't you need one of those to play football? Philadelphia doesn't deserve much confidence, but this shouldn't be too tough of a game to win off of a bye.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Philadelphia
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Philadelphia
MONDAY
($) Chicago (+4.5) @ San Diego (-4.5)
The Chargers aren't any good folks. And they're pretty beat up on both sides of the ball, too. Chicago's been playing well over the last month or so and this is a prime spot for an upset; or at the very least, a cover.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Chicago
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Chicago
THE COLLEGE NICKEL
RECORD: 26 – 22 – 2 (.542)
Temple -14.0 (WIN)
Texas Tech +8.0 (WIN)
Michigan -24.5 (WIN)
Wisconsin -11.0 (LOSS)
LSU +6.5 (LOSS)
Good luck! Thanks for reading!
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